Fear and Greed Index - Investor Sentiment | CNN (2024)

Index Update

Stock Price Breadth is based on the McClellan Summation Index. A minor calculation change was made recently to improve this indicator and overall score for Fear & Greed Index.

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Learn more about the index

7 fear & greed indicators

market momentum

S&P 500 and its 125-day moving average

S&P 500

125-day moving average

It’s useful to look at stock market levels compared to where they’ve been over the past few months. When the S&P 500 is above its moving or rolling average of the prior 125 trading days, that’s a sign of positive momentum. But if the index is below this average, it shows investors are getting skittish. The Fear & Greed Index uses slowing momentum as a signal for Fear and a growing momentum for Greed.

stock price strength

Net new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE

A few big stocks can skew returns for the market. It’s important to also know how many stocks are doing well versus those that are struggling. This shows the number of stocks on the NYSE at 52-week highs compared to those at 52-week lows. When there are many more highs than lows, that’s a bullish sign and signals Greed.

stock price breadth

McClellan Volume Summation Index

Market breadth strong

Market breadth weak

The market is made up of thousands of stocks. And on any given day, investors are actively buying and selling them. This measure looks at the amount, or volume, of shares on the NYSE that are rising compared to the number of shares that are falling. A low (or even negative) number is a bearish sign. The Fear & Greed Index uses decreasing trading volume as a signal for Fear.

put and call options

5-day average put/call ratio

Options are contracts that give investors the right to buy or sell stocks, indexes or other financial securities at an agreed upon price and date. Puts are the option to sell while calls are the option to buy. When the ratio of puts to calls is rising, it is usually a sign investors are growing more nervous. A ratio above 1 is considered bearish. The Fear & Greed Index uses a bearish options ratio as a signal for Fear.

market volatility

VIX and its 50-day moving average

VIX

50-day moving average

The most well-known measure of market sentiment is the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX. The VIX measures expected price fluctuations or volatility in the S&P 500 Index options over the next 30 days. The VIX often drops on days when the broader market rallies and soars when stocks plunge. But the key is to look at the VIX over time. It tends to be lower in bull markets and higher when the bears are in control. The Fear & Greed Index uses increasing market volatility as a signal for Fear.

safe haven demand

Difference in 20-day stock and bond returns

Stocks outperforming Bonds

Bonds outperforming Stocks

Stocks are riskier than bonds. But the reward for investing in stocks over the long haul is greater. Still, bonds can outperform stocks over short periods. Safe Haven Demand shows the difference between Treasury bond and stock returns over the past 20 trading days. Bonds do better when investors are scared. The Fear & Greed Index uses increasing safe haven demand as a signal for Fear.

junk bond demand

Yield spread: junk bonds vs. investment grade

Note: The frequent drops of the yield spread on the Junk Bond Demand chart usually appear on the ex-dividend date. The spread typically bounces back after the dividend is paid and normalizes over time.

Junk bonds carry a higher risk of default compared to other bonds. Bond yields – or the return you get on investing in a bond - dip when prices go up. If investors crave junk bonds, the yields drop. Likewise, yields rise when people are selling. So a smaller difference (or spread) between yields for junk bonds and safer government bonds is a sign investors are taking on more risk. A wider spread shows more caution. The Fear & Greed Index uses junk bond demand as a signal for Greed.

FEAR & GREED INDEX FAQs

What is the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index?

The Fear & Greed Index is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect.

How is Fear & Greed Calculated?

The Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behavior. They are market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand. The index tracks how much these individual indicators deviate from their averages compared to how much they normally diverge. The index gives each indicator equal weighting in calculating a score from 0 to 100, with 100 representing maximum greediness and 0 signaling maximum fear.

How often is the Fear & Greed Index calculated?

Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available.

How to use Fear & Greed Index?

The Fear & Greed Index is used to gauge the mood of the market. Many investors are emotional and reactionary, and fear and greed sentiment indicators can alert investors to their own emotions and biases that can influence their decisions. When combined with fundamentals and other analytical tools, the Index can be a helpful way to assess market sentiment.

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Fear and Greed Index - Investor Sentiment | CNN (2024)

FAQs

Is the fear and greed index a good indicator? ›

The Fear and Greed Index is a potent gauge for capturing investor sentiment. It offers unique insights into market dynamics, allowing savvy professionals to make informed investment decisions. However, it should be used in tandem with other tools to provide a holistic view of the market.

What are the 7 indicators of fear and greed index? ›

The Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behavior. They are market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand.

What is the investor sentiment in 2024? ›

Bullish sentiment among traders has dropped off slightly compared to Q1 2024 (46% vs. 53%) but is still higher than levels seen in 2022 and 2023. concerns have more than doubled quarter-over-quarter (9% to 19%). 2024.

What is the fear and greed index strategy? ›

The Fear & Greed Index was developed by CNN Business to measure whether stocks are fairly priced. The index attempts to determine how emotions influence how much investors are willing to pay for stocks. The index assumes that fear drives stocks lower, while greed boosts stock values.

What index does Warren Buffett recommend? ›

Instead, he believes most investors should periodically purchase shares of an S&P 500 index fund. "I recommend the S&P 500 index fund, and have for a long, long time to people. And I've never recommended Berkshire to anybody," Buffett told attendees at Berkshire's annual meeting in 2021.

What does a score of 50 on the fear and greed index indicates? ›

A score of 0 represents extreme fear, a score of 100 represents extreme greed, and a score of 50, which is in the middle, represents neutral sentiment. A fearful market could indicate a down-trend after a huge sell-off in the market.

What stock will boom in 2024? ›

10 Best Growth Stocks to Buy for 2024
StockImplied upside*
Mastercard Inc. (MA)19.4%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX)5.2%
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS)6.9%
Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC)21.5%
6 more rows

What is investor sentiment right now? ›

US Investor Sentiment, % Bullish is at 42.54%, compared to 40.54% last week and 44.70% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 37.65%. US Investor Sentiment, % Bullish is an indicator that is a part of the AAII Sentiment Survey.

What are the economists predictions for 2024? ›

We project the U.S. economy to maintain healthy momentum throughout our forecast window, with a modest deceleration in the near term. We expect real GDP growth to average about 2.0 percent annualized in the second half of 2024, while the unemployment rate continues inching up to 4.0 percent.

How to read the greed and fear index? ›

How to use the Fear and Greed Index. As mentioned earlier, the index operates on a scale from 0 to 100, with 0 representing extreme fear, 50 denoting a neutral sentiment, and 100 signifying extreme greed. Typically, extreme fear indicates that investors are pessimistic and may have oversold assets.

What is the maximum fear and greed index? ›

The index ranges from 0 to 100, with 0 indicating "extreme fear" and 100 indicating "extreme greed". It's derived from a weighted average of component indicators, offering insights into prevailing market emotions.

What is fear and greed index Tradingview indicator? ›

The Fear & Greed index combines data from multiple market indicators and technical analysis tools to create a comprehensive sentiment score. The script fetches data for each component, such as sector performance, market volatility, and put/call ratios, and normalizes the values to ensure a consistent scale.

What does fear and greed index measure in crypto? ›

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a tool that strives to measure the overall sentiment of the cryptocurrency market. It uses a variety of data sources and combines them into a single figure, providing a score from 0 to 100. This score categorizes the market sentiment from extreme fear (0-24) to extreme greed (75-100).

Is the stock market going to crash in 2024? ›

While many experts are making predictions about whether the market will crash in 2024 or how severe the next downturn will be, it's impossible to say with certainty where stock prices will be in the short term. However, the market's long-term performance is all but guaranteed to be positive.

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